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  • 1.  Project Selection

    Posted 10-12-2001 18:26
    On behalf of Jay Warner, our host, Charlie Wankel, posts an inquiry about
    project selection methods...

    There are lots of project portfolio management approaches out there,
    including some very expensive supporting software, most of which include a
    component dealing with project selection. I'm less than enamored of what
    I've seen because, like so many important issues, the vendors have responded
    to a hotly political issue with a highly rationalized approach. Lest I be
    misunderstood, I'm saying that project selection is rife with politics --
    and decisions regarding which projects to pursue, shelve, support,
    pigeonhole, fund, queue or otherwise decide the candidate projects' fate,
    even if only temporarily, are not made on a purely rational basis (no matter
    how hard we all strive to give that impression).

    Rational criteria include factors such as cost-benefit ratios (based on
    bogus numbers more often than anyone cares to admit), ROI (equally bogus and
    compounded by flights of fantasy in relation to the "R" in that equation),
    probability of success (an exercise in wishful thinking), the availability
    of relevant resources, competing priorities, and on and on and on.

    In my world, project selection criteria more often tie to other, equally
    subjective but perhaps more political factors (e.g., Who is going to
    champion the project? How powerful is that person? How deep and true that
    person's commitment to the project? Whose ox or oxen will get gored by the
    project? How seriously? What kind of opposition might they mount? How
    might they be mollified, compensated, bribed or otherwise bought off? Who
    is going to manage the project? Who is going to lead it? (And, Yes,
    Virginia, there really is a project manager and a project leader and the two
    are rarely the same person.) How do the people who will have to staff and
    carry out the project view it? Are they anxious to get on board or are they
    trying to avoid a death march? On and on the "political" questions go.

    My own view is that a project selection methodology needs to "fit" the
    company, the players and the times at hand. In short, it's a custom
    undertaking that if not undertaken will result in the wrong projects being
    buried for the wrong reasons and in the right projects being pursued for
    equally wrong reasons.

    In your shoes, Jay, I'd start with an outline of an approach then work with
    my client to flesh it out in ways that make sense to them at this time in
    light of current conditions -- and plaster "Subject to Change without
    Notice" all over it.

    Regards,

    Fred Nickols
    Senior Consulting
    Distance Consulting
    "Assistance at A Distance"
    http://home.att.net/~nickols/distance.htm
    nickols@att.net

    P.S. I will be leaving Educational Testing Service (ETS) later this year
    and returning to consulting on a full-time basis. I'll be posting a more
    detailed announcement on my Distance Consulting web site in the near future.


  • 2.  Project Selection

    Posted 10-14-2001 16:25
    Fred,
    Wonderful advice. Appreciated all the more because it fits my intuitive
    feelings of the case.

    the related advice from others is equally appreciated. Perhaps any
    algorithmic sequence for project selection is doomed to failure. What I
    am hoping for, nonetheless, is that I will raise the key subject areas,
    and discover a documentable confirmation of the prior intuitive judgements.

    Thanks again,
    Jay

    Fred Nickols wrote:

    > On behalf of Jay Warner, our host, Charlie Wankel, posts an inquiry about
    > project selection methods...
    >
    > [snip]
    >
    > P.S. I will be leaving Educational Testing Service (ETS) later this year
    > and returning to consulting on a full-time basis. I'll be posting a more
    > detailed announcement on my Distance Consulting web site in the near future.

    Congrats!

    --
    Jay Warner
    Principal Scientist
    Warner Consulting, Inc.
    4444 North Green Bay Road
    Racine, WI 53404-1216
    USA

    Ph: (262) 634-9100
    FAX: (262) 681-1133
    email: quality@a2q.com
    web: http://www.a2q.com

    The A2Q Method (tm) -- What do you want to improve today?


  • 3.  Project Selection

    Posted 10-16-2001 15:04
    From: Michael Greer [mailto:projmgtguy@yahoo.com]

    I have enjoyed following the thread on project selection. While several
    comments have reflected my own partial cyncism about the process --
    i.e., those with power will ultimately prevail at pushing their projects
    through despite efforts to prioritize projects based on more objective
    criteria. However, one of the most important comments was this by Jay
    Warner:
    >>What I am hoping for, nonetheless, is that I will raise
    the key subject areas, and discover a documentable
    confirmation of the prior intuitive judgements.<<

    I've been working for many years with newcomer project
    managers and organizations trying to improve their PM practices. When I
    first began my work I was essentially an optimist regarding this matter,
    believing that such "objective" prioritization schemes would produce
    much truth and justice in the project portfolio. After a while, seeing,
    as Fred has noted, that internal politics and power struggles always
    reared their ugly heads and often prevail, I became somewhat disgusted
    and wondered if any attempt at prioritization was simply a waste of
    time.

    After much reflection and further experience, I have
    concluded that it is not the outcome of prioritization
    (i.e., the finalized list of selection criteria and
    prioritized project portfolio) which matters most. What
    matters most is the process of struggling, as an
    organization, to create or select prioritization schemes
    and to implement them. For in this process the bright light
    of public exposure will be shined on many project-related hidden
    agendas, political aspirations, and power plays. At the same time, it is
    inevitable that a fairly substantive dialogue will occur among those who
    execute and those who plan and assign projects, as well as those who
    attempt to set the strategic directions of the organization.

    In operational terms, this means at the very least that
    those who propose and select projects will be forced to
    develop better justifications for them than they did
    before. And given that there are always more project ideas
    and project champions than there are project teams to
    implement them, this can be a very good thing, indeed.


    =====
    Michael Greer
    Author of The Project Manager's Partner (HRD Press) and ID Project
    Management (Ed Tech Pub.); for free PM-related handouts, bibliography,
    and hot links visit: http://www.michaelgreer.com