Subject:
RE: future occupations
Date:
Mon, 5 Apr 1999 12:50:29 -0700
From:
Paul Koenig <
pkoenig@nextera-pcg.com>
To:
"'
tommy@aquanet.co.il'" <
tommy@aquanet.co.il>
Haya,
Check this out -
-----Original Message-----
From: haya [mailto:
tommy@aquanet.co.il]
Sent: Sunday, April 04, 1999 9:08 PM
To: Human Resources Net
Subject: future occupations
hello
i'm interested in a research about "future occupations" .
can someone help with interesting articles or urls?
thanks
haya
--
Haya Kivilis-Ofek
8th Biniamini St.
Tel Aviv 67459
Israel
Tel: 972-3-6956737
Fax: 972-3-6964085
Email: mailto:
tommy@aquanet.co.il
URL:
http://www.angelfire.com/ak/ofek/index.htmlhcmwhitepaper.pdf
Name:
hcmwhitepaper.pdf
Type:
Acrobat (application/pdf)
Encoding:
base64
Subject:
RE: future occupations
Date:
Mon, 5 Apr 1999 17:31:43 -0700
From:
"Rusiecki, Bruce" <
bruce.rusiecki@intel.com>
To:
"'
tommy@aquanet.co.il'" <
tommy@aquanet.co.il>,
Human Resources Net <
HRNET@cornell.edu>
Haya -
Here are a couple of interesting articles from the Atlanta Tribune
relevant
to your question:
http://www.atlantatribune.com/rccareer/car9904-3.htm
<http://www.atlantatribune.com/rccareer/car9904-3.htm>
http://www.atlantatribune.com/rccareer/car9903-3.htm
<http://www.atlantatribune.com/rccareer/car9903-3.htm>
Also, from the SHRM (see bottom of article):
http://www.shrm.org/issues/futurefocus/0299fut.htm
<http://www.shrm.org/issues/futurefocus/0299fut.htm>
You can also check out this web site:
Forum for Future Careers at
http://www.ntwkfirm.com/pr19006.htm
<http://www.ntwkfirm.com/pr19006.htm>
Regards,
Bruce
Subject:
Re: future occupations
Date:
Tue, 06 Apr 1999 18:48:04 -0400
From:
"Gerri Brosh, Technical Assistant" <
geri@cccnj.net>
Organization:
Cumberland County College
To:
haya <
tommy@AQUANET.CO.IL>
References:
1
This chart represents occupations with fast growth, high pay and low
unemployment, that have the largest projected numerical growth for the
years 1996-2006, according to the USA Occupational Handbook.
http://stats.bls.gov/images/ocotj08.gif
Gerri Brosh, Technical Assistant III
Talent Search
Cumberland County College
<
geri@cccnj.net>
HTML Mail
Netscape Conference Address
Netscape Conference DLS Server
Additional Information:
Last Name
Technical Assistant III
First Name
Gerri Brosh,
Version
2.1
Subject:
Re: future occupations
Date:
Tue, 06 Apr 1999 18:51:55 -0400
From:
"Gerri Brosh, Technical Assistant" <
geri@cccnj.net>
Organization:
Cumberland County College
To:
haya <
tommy@AQUANET.CO.IL>
CC:
WBTOLL-L@hermes.circ.gwu.edu
References:
1
Tomorrow's jobs according to the USA Occupational Outlook Handbook
http://stats.bls.gov/oco/oco2003.htm
Gerri Brosh, Technical Assistant III
Talent Search
Cumberland County College
<
geri@cccnj.net>
HTML Mail
Netscape Conference Address
Netscape Conference DLS Server
Additional Information:
Last Name
Technical Assistant III
First Name
Gerri Brosh,
Version
2.1
Try the Futurist magazine, published by the World Future Society. I
believe they have a web site (check
http://www.askjeeves.com to find the
site).
Gail Work
Database: Gen'l Ref Ctr Gold
Sent from SearchBank.
Library: Johnson County Library
____________________________________________________________________________
Full content for this article includes photograph and illustration.
Source: Journal of Business Strategy, July-August 1997 v18 n4
p59(5).
Title: Future strategy. (books on planning the business for the
future)
Author: Bristol Voss
Abstract: A new set of books adopts a different approach to how
businesses
could prepare for the future. While most business authors tend to agree
that
corporations must always be in a state of preparedness for change, these
books
suggest that a business must first determine what that change will be.
This
will protect the business from getting too shocked from changes that it
will
be unable to respond positively. To go a step further, 'Scenarios: The
Art of
Strategic Conversation,' 'Trends 2000: How to Prepare for and Profit
from the
Changes of the 21st Century,' '2025: Scenarios of US and Global Society
Reshaped by Science and Technology' and 'Rethinking the Future:
Rethinking
Business, Principles, Competition, Control & Complexity, Leadership,
Markets
and the World' discuss how to divine what the corporate future has in
store
for one's corporation.
Subjects: Organizational change - Bibliography
Management - Bibliography
Strategic planning - Bibliography
SIC code: 2731
Business Collection: 103N1878
Electronic Collection: A19774010
RN: A19774010
Full Text COPYRIGHT 1997 Research Institute of America Inc.
People who are in a constant state of readiness usually end up diagnosed
with
some sort of clinical disorder, dubbed anxiety, paranoia, manic
psychosis, or
whatever. Yet for years, business authors have been urging readers to
put
themselves and their corporations in a perpetual state of preparedness
for
change. It doesn't take a genius to make the connection between people
so
hyper-vigilant they're of little use to us in the real world and
corporations
so focused on embracing change with enthusiasm that they in some ways
are just
not "here" with us in this more practical dimension.
This batch of books takes a different approach to preparing for the
future.
Instead of being ready for change, they suggest that you determine what
that
the change will be. Your first step, they collectively suggest, is to
establish what the future holds. Then, even if you don't completely
revamp
your operations in time, you won't be so shocked by what you see that
you
can't react in some positive fashion. And, with a little planning, if
you knew
what tomorrow were like, you could create a strategy to help your
business
succeed in that environment.
Obviously, the snag with this theory is how to divine what the future
holds.
Fortunately, four of these books are written by people who think they
know and
are willing to tell you for a price. One, Scenarios: The Art of
Strategic
Conversation, takes an exceptional approach, eschewing an actual
description
of the future and instead giving the reader the tools to create his own
picture of tomorrow. And one is included strictly for fun. (Guess
which?)
Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation
Kees van der Heijen John Wiley & Sons, New York
Author's Credentials: Before becoming a B-school professor, was in
charge of
Royal Dutch Shell's scenario planning
Thesis: Since things will be too unpredictable, you can't create a
strategy
today for tomorrow - you have to pay attention to the strategy process
instead.
Scope: WWII to present
File Under: Serious strategy
Reason to Buy/Read: It's a brilliant treatise on scenario thinking, plus
a
significant part of the book is dedicated to this reader's favorite dead
horse
- that top management should get its own strategic house in order before
tackling the organization's planning problems. Van der Heijen also
provides a
skillful defense of the art of planning saying, at one point, "A modest
up-front investment in planning avoids the need to think through every
crisis
situation from scratch; appropriate planning assists in making the
transition
from individual insights to institutional action; appropriate planning
creates
an institutional learning and memory system." The author understands
strategy
and perceives where practitioners get exasperated; he puts his thinking
forth
in a rational, well laid-out book. This is the best current book out on
building a strategy-creating process (process in the author's language
is a
"conversation"), and thus eliminating the strain of trying to create the
best
strategy.
Unintended Effect: Shell has really sophisticated planning mechanisms.
Placement in Your Life: Don't touch, it's mine.
How to Read: Slowly and carefully - the author did not go into academia
for
nothing. Don't skip the preface, even though parts of it seem like
acknowledgments; the author explains origins of his thinking process and
the
people who influenced him. Caution: Instead of saying something simply
(there
doesn't have to be one best strategy) the author goes into long-winded
exegeses (there exists a need for a strategic way of thinking between
"rationalists" a la Michael Porter and "evolutionists" like Henry
Mintzberg,
leaving room for "processual" - van der Heijen - through which emerges
strategic conversation.)
Part one addresses underlying assumptions about traditional ways of
thinking
about strategy and how scenario thinking pulls together facts and
ambiguity.
Part Two discusses the theory of scenario thinking and how the
organizational
self is the starting point of strategy. Part Three puts scenario
planning to
practice, including an explanation of how to introduce concepts and what
to do
with conclusions you draw. Part Four puts things in a wider
organizational
context and offers techniques for creating workshops and stretching
people's
minds to embrace future scenarios.
Irresistible Miscellanea: There is such a thing as being too simplistic:
In
order to survive, organic systems need a degree of complexity,
equivalent to
the complexity of the environment with which they interact (Ashby's law
of
requisite variety).
You will throw this book across the room if: You're a fool.
Price: $29.95
Value: $29.95 plus the cost of your time to read it
Trends 2000: How to Prepare for and Profit from the Changes of the 21st
Century
Gerald Celente Warner Books, New York
Author's Credentials: Founder of the trends research institute who
"foresaw
the fall of the Soviet Union"
Thesis: 2000 is the big number.
Scope: Ancient Greece to post-2000
File Under: Quick glimpse at the future
Reason to Buy/Read: Tries to put forth what is called Globalnomic
information
- from globus (globe or sphere) and nemein (to manage) - in order to
manage
trends. While that may or may not mean anything to you, what is
presented are
neat little vignettes of what may come, all plausibly anchored in the
past.
Warning: Celente foresees a lot of turmoil, including students
protesting
cutbacks and tuition hikes; other citizens of the world, uprooted by
communism, getting bored and starting random revolutions; and crusades
taking
place in the name of Allah. The author has fun with puns and generally
keeps a
light tone even when dealing with serious matters.
Unintended Effect: Explanation of why (Jeffersonian) democracy will win
out
Placement in Your Life: Airplane reading - sans cover
How to Read: Skim the whole thing. Although it has three "books"
dividing up
the chapters, essentially Books One and Two are similar; both discuss
the
changes to come in the environment, water supply, health issues,
families, and
children. Book Three describes the civil-type war to come. You always
know
when you're getting a scenario - the author sets each one up with a real
news
report circa 1994 (e.g., pesticides in drinking water), followed with a
section trending that item foreword ("By 2000, very little clean water
flowed
from American taps"). Then he offers a "Trendpost," essentially a call
to
action to the business person ("Any water supply-related business
represents a
sound investment"). Not all pictures of the future are of equal weight.
Some
are plain hilarious, as with edible landscaping (a.k.a. gardening for
the home
lawn - this is new?!), and some built on what is already being said now:
"By
the year 2000, it was no longer possible to summon up the wonder drugs
of the
past half century to combat any and every health problem."
Irresistible Miscellanea: The star of Bethlehem signaled the advent of
Pisces,
which became an early symbol of Christianity.
You will throw this book across the room if: Casual language bothers
you;
e.g., "Never before had so many countries had easy access to cheap
greenbacks."
Price: $24
Value: $22
http://www.bls.gov/ocohome.htm
In the recent International Human Resource Conference in London, the
traditional HR role should become to "Human Capital Development".
Perhaps
it gives you some ideas about "future occupations".
Happy Easter,
Agnes Hsiao
=========================================================
Global Dynamic Solutions specializes in cross-cultural negotiation,
which are critical skills to manage global partnerships and
effectiveness
of
remote teamwork, For further information, please contact
Agnes Hsiao. Mailto
culture@skynet.be, Tel:32-3-8773758,
Groenenhoek 156, 2630 Aartselaar, Belgium
Haya Kivilis-Ofek asked for info on future occupations....
I provided references on the following 7 articles:
Gordon Gregory
Gregory Associates
Overland Park, Kansas
www.gregoryassociates.com
Journal of Business Strategy, July-August 1997 v18 n4 p59(5)
Future strategy. (books on planning the business for the future)
Bristol
Voss.
Abstract: A new set of books adopts a different approach to how
businesses
could prepare for the future. While most business authors tend to agree
that
corporations must always be in a state of preparedness for change, these
books suggest that a business must first determine what that change will
be.
This will protect the business from getting too shocked from changes
that it
will be unable to respond positively. To go a step
further,
'Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation,' 'Trends 2000: How to
Prepare
for and Profit from the Changes of the 21st Century,' '2025: Scenarios
of US
and Global Society Reshaped by Science and Technology' and 'Rethinking
the
Future: Rethinking Business, Principles, Competition, Control &
Complexity,
Leadership, Markets and the World'discuss how to divine what the
corporate
future has in store for one's corporation.
=====================
Forbes, Dec 28, 1998 p22(1)
2039: On My Mind. (business predictions for the year 2039) Dolly
Setton.
"We asked top executives to peer way into the future--say
40
years--and tell us what they think their businesses will be like. "
=======================
Corporate Seers, by William M. Bulkeley, Wall Street Journal, Nov 16,
1998
(Who knows better what the future holds than those who make a living
thinking
about it?)
"They get paid to think about the future. While most corporate workers
are
lucky if they can think about next week, there are tohers whose job is
to
keep and eye on where technology is taking the world. Their views vary
widely, as do their responsbibilities, but their roles are the same: to
open
minds"
====================
Nation's Business, Feb 1999 v87 i2 p11(1)
The Shape Of Things To Come Begins To Take Shape. (coming trends in
business
management)(Brief Article) Thomas Love.
"Clues to what the 21st-century workplace will look like are beginning
to
appear, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, a Chicago-based
international outplacement company Applying these imminent trends to
your
business situation might help you get a leg up on your competition in
the new
millennium"
==============
The Futurist, June-July 1998 v32 n5 p19(6)
The 10 new rules for strategizing your career. (includes related
articles on
extinct
occupations and the role of managers) Richard
L.
Knowdell.
Abstract: Globalization necessitates increased interaction with
different
cultures, expanded skills and technological knowhow. The employee of the
future has to equip himself with the right communication skills, the
ability
to effortlessly shift from one task to another, and new and better
capacities.
=================
Business Horizons, Nov-Dec 1993 v36 n6 p30(5)
The nature of work in the twenty-first century: certain uncertainties.
Arthur B. Shostak.
Brief Summary: Five attributes of future work conditions will have a
significant affect on society: the declining numbers of jobs, the
policy
response to a curtailed work force, the type of jobs available after
2000,
the future of labor unions, and the emergence of highly intelligent
machines.
====================
Management Review, Sept 1993 v82 n9 p33(3)
Back to the future of work. (profiles of three professionals reveal
what
work will be
like in the future) Oren Harari.
Abstract: Work in the future will be proactive, require personal
responsibility, and entail long hours. Profiles of three professionals
provide an overview of how work will be structured in the future. The
article
also contains a list of additional trends that will affect how work is
done
in the future.
You can view these results online:
http://karnak.com/member/myresultsbysite.shtml?uname=tommy&rq=781433384
hope it helps
--
Haya Kivilis-Ofek
8th Biniamini St.,
Tel-Aviv 67459 Israel
Tel: 972-3-6956737
email: mailto:
tommy@aquanet.co.il