I think Fred clearly describes a lot of actions that amount to fiction
formulation, but not to discovering strategy.
The key distinction is that strategy discovery involves solving "n"
simultaneous equations concerning n-1 variables vs. performing sequential
choice making followed by correcting "ooops" messes.
When students are presented with a situation high in extent, variety and
ambiguity (popularly mis-labeled Complex, Adaptive System) they soon learn
that part of their resources should be allocated to learning about the
situation, rather than putting all their efforts into naively "planning a
course of action then correcting it."
Until they ascertain the number of variables involved and devise an adequate
number of interrelationships among the variables no amount of planning will
lead to survival, let alone success.
What End will we value?
What variables are involved?
What set of tenets encompass the variables?
Which are the 10% that will influence 90% of the outcome?
(Because its all probabilistic thus duals abound)
Which kind of strategy will we be willing to live with
- Offensive (max likelihood of gain (and magnitude of possible loss))
- Defensive (min likelihood of loss (and magnitude of any gain))
- Muddling through (max likelihood of being able to change strategy)
- Oppressive (preserve the institution regardless of the citizenry)
I suggest that we would all be well advised to read Bill Rothschild's Secret
of GE's Success.
I am not claiming that he agrees with the ideas I have put forth.
Onward,
Jack Ring
----- Original Message -----
From: <
nickols@att.net>
To: <
MG-ED-DV@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU>
Sent: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 10:06 AM
Subject: Re: New Discipline for a Troubled Practice
> Regarding Jack Ring's observation below:
>
>> Yea, verily, start with the end in mind.
>> However, I suggest that 'result' is equivalent to objective. Kim didn''t
>> ask
>> about pedagogy regarding choosing objectives. He asked about learning to
>> craft
>> strategy which I claim is equivalent to the act of supposing how to get
>> there
>> (what impediments thus what resources, when).
>
> My sense of part of what Jack is driving at is similar the distinction
> between setting (or formulating) objectives and figuring out how to attain
> them. How to attain them is very much a matter of crafting a strategy - a
> course of action - and then of executing it smartly.
>
> In my experience, people experience very little difficulty in setting
> objectives. Nor, for that matter, do they encounter much difficulty in
> formulating plans (i.e., courses of action) that are intended to achieve
> their objectives. Indeed, on occasion, they are supremely confident -
> but, as later events reveal - they are also dead wrong. They didn't get
> it right (and, sometimes, they didn't do it right).
>
> I think where people go awry in their efforts to craft strategy isn't in
> their ability to imagine a course of action that, in their opinion, will
> get them from where they are to where they want to be. I think they come
> a cropper when it comes to imagining what the trip will be like (e.g., the
> "impediments" Jack mentions, the responses of others, changes in the
> operating environment, the political landscape, the economy, etc.). The
> obvious but impossible solution lies in being able to perfectly foretell
> the future, which no one can do. So, the second best option is to do a
> better job of examining and taking into account various scenarios. This,
> of course, is accomplished through contingency planning. I have seen
> numerous strategic initiatives go off track owing to the absence of any
> kind of scenario planning and accompanying strategic planning. On one
> occasion, I asked about that absence, and was told, "We don't need that;
> we will succeed." Needless to say, they didn't.
>
> Perhaps, somewhere along the pedagogical path, people should be asked to
> develop a strategy for making a trip through uncharted territory about
> which they have limited information and then reexamine their strategy
> after receiving additional information from actually making the trip.
> Perhaps this could be done via a simulation of some kind. The point being
> one of getting people to realize that the courses of action they undertake
> are at best well-informed guesses and at worst mere flights of fancy.
> Flexibility and the ability to respond to unforeseen circumstances make
> the difference. If they weren't necessary, we would long ago have figured
> out how to engineer success. So far as I know, no one has yet nailed that
> one.
>
> --
> Regards,
>
> Fred Nickols
> Managing Partner
> Distance Consulting, LLC
>
nickols@att.net
>
www.nickols.us
>
> "Assistance at A Distance"
>
> -------------- Original message ----------------------
> From: Jack Ring <
jring@AMUG.ORG>
>>
>
>> Or maybe not. Anyway, thanks for the response.
>> cheers,
>> Jack Ring
>> ----- Original Message -----
>> From: Clawson, Jim
>> To:
MG-ED-DV@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU
>> Sent: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 6:37 PM
>> Subject: Re: New Discipline for a Troubled Practice
>>
>>
>> Jack,
>>
>> I love it. What a nice return metaphor. Defining the result brings
>> clarity
>> to the goal if not to the way to get there-of which there might be
>> many-as so
>> many have suggested in the "24 emails". The fun is in learning how to
>> get from
>> here to there. And how to make those decisions in the heat of the
>> moment.
>> Acquisition or .. Growing old with the girlfriend you've got. Do we
>> have a
>> long term relationship that will work or not? It seems to me knowing the
>> goal/result is the first step in figuring out how to get there.
>>
>> But then I'm not a strategist. Anyway, it's a lot of fun to see how
>> everyone
>> thinks.
>>
>>
>>
>> Jim
>>
>> James G. S. Clawson
>>
>> Johnson & Higgins Professor of Business Administration
>>
>> Darden GSB, University of Virginia
>>
>> Box 6550, Charlottesville, VA 22906
>>
>> 100 Darden Boulevard, Charlottesville, VA 22903 USA
>>
>> Tel: 434 924 7488 Fax: 434 243 7680
>>
>> Web:
http://faculty.darden.virginia.edu/clawsonj
>>
>>
>>
>> From: Management Education and Development Discussion
>> [mailto:
MG-ED-DV@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU] On Behalf Of Jack Ring
>> Sent: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 4:38 PM
>> To:
MG-ED-DV@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU
>> Subject: Re: New Discipline for a Troubled Practice
>>
>>
>>
>> Similarly, is copulation anything that two do that produces pregnancy?
>>
>> Defining a concept by the result produced does not tell us much about
>> how to
>> help students learn about performing the concept. Also, a 'result'
>> viewpoint
>> doesn't clarify whether this is the only way to arrive at that result or
>> whether
>> this is a guaranteed cause-effect relationship.
>>
>> Close, but no cigar.
>>
>> Jack Ring
>>
>> ----- Original Message -----
>>
>> From: Clawson, Jim
>>
>> To:
MG-ED-DV@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU
>>
>> Sent: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 5:46 AM
>>
>> Subject: Re: New Discipline for a Troubled Practice
>>
>>
>>
>> Here's a radical thought that comes from a colleague: strategy is
>> anything
>> that one does that affects one's competitive advantage. George Day's
>> definition
>> of the latter: superior value added, difficult to imitate, and enhances
>> one's
>> flexibility adds to the flavor. This definition rises above the short
>> term,
>> long term debate, and the intentional/emergent debate. Some strategies,
>> even in
>> nature, might be semi- or sub-conscious.
>>
>>
>>
>> Jim
>>
>> James G. S. Clawson
>>
>> Johnson & Higgins Professor of Business Administration
>>
>> Darden GSB, University of Virginia
>>
>> Box 6550, Charlottesville, VA 22906
>>
>> 100 Darden Boulevard, Charlottesville, VA 22903 USA
>>
>> Tel: 434 924 7488 Fax: 434 243 7680
>>
>> Web:
http://faculty.darden.virginia.edu/clawsonj
>>
>>
>>
>> From: Management Education and Development Discussion
>> [mailto:
MG-ED-DV@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU] On Behalf Of Jack Ring
>> Sent: Monday, February 23, 2009 11:24 AM
>> To:
MG-ED-DV@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU
>> Subject: New Discipline for a Troubled Practice
>>
>>
>>
>> Colleagues,
>>
>>
>>
>> The 24 messages regarding Directions for a Troubled Discipline
>> indicates
>> that we should all thank Kim Warren for bringing the situation to our
>> attention,
>> especially when it is getting harder to discern strategy from tragedy.
>>
>>
>>
>> Having been a student, practitioner and mentor of strategy since
>> being
>> introduced to the subject by Bill Rothschild at GE Crotonville in 1967 I
>> have
>> watched the usual diffusion of meaning and practice that ensues as "new"
>> theories are proposed while nobody bothers to run fallibility
>> experiments. It is
>> not surprising to me that many students find the 'strategy' subject
>> matter
>> irrelevant. The real tragedy with strategy is that it is equated to long
>> range
>> planning and its essence is lost.
>>
>>
>>
>> Perhaps each of those who have posted on this thread would kindly
>> describe
>> 'strategy' in 20 words or less. I have been alert to such succinct
>> description
>> for many years but have not found many. I have found a way to identify a
>> lack of
>> strategy in a work group --- this is when capable people, each trying to
>> do
>> their best for the whole, collide so frequently that the enterprise
>> suffers.
>>
>>
>>
>> Kim highlighted a key issue regarding strategy --- positioning.
>> Strategy is
>> better thought of as relative positioning as the scenario evolves. Second
>> order
>> cybernetics, if you will. This becomes clear if you take strategy to be
>> "the
>> allocation and scheduling of resources to overcome impediments to
>> achieving an
>> objective." Every time an engagement of resource vs impediment occurs,
>> the
>> conditions for next allocation changes. If that demands an adjustment of
>> strategy, then so be it. You may say that this describes tactics. No, the
>> engagement is tactics, the associated observation of the engagement and
>> the
>> validation or reallocation of resources to impediments is strategy. If
>> you are
>> lucky or darned good, the strategy has been thought through regarding
>> possible
>> outcomes of engagements so that strategy sustains throughout a series of
>> engagements. Not so lucky or good, strategy may have to be restated every
>> hour
>> or so. So how do we become good at discovering strategy?
>>
>>
>>
>> Notice that there are three keys, a) objectives, b) impediments and
>> resources (i.e., capabilities) and their engagements and c) allocation
>> and
>> scheduling decisions.
>>
>>
>>
>> The process of arriving at a strategy, better called strategy
>> discovery than
>> strategic planning, is concerned with allocation and scheduling of
>> resources
>> regardless of whether the chosen objective is liquidity, value, civic
>> duty,
>> world peace, etc., Selection of objective is a precursor, not part of
>> discovering strategy.
>>
>>
>>
>> Discovering strategy starts with identifying impediments and
>> resources and
>> in generating expectations of engagement outcomes. Accordingly, strategy
>> does
>> not pursue a position relative to others but does pursue the privilege of
>> being
>> able to make a subsequent decision as the ramifications of current
>> strategy
>> becomes clear.
>>
>>
>>
>> This entails a departure from single-thread, linear thinking (which
>> most
>> students have been taught to do) to multi-attribute, emergence thinking
>> about
>> which most students don't have a clue let alone proficiency. Strategy
>> discovery continues with allocation and scheduling decisions, a swamp of
>> combinatorial suppositions for which most students have had not only zero
>> instruction but also strictures against letting their insight and
>> intuition
>> participate. Strategy discovery ends with the creation of success
>> criteria and
>> situation assessment action. Because it isn't 'cool' to check you work
>> students
>> aren't turned on by the thrill of discovery but turned off by being asked
>> to
>> engage in pointless planning.
>>
>>
>>
>> One way of documenting a strategy is called policy, typically a
>> statement of
>> intent and rules regarding which resources will be committed to what,
>> when.
>>
>>
>>
>> Note that architects define their practice as discovering "the
>> arrangement
>> of function and feature that maximizes an objective function." They do
>> strategy.
>> They set policy. Strategy may be thought of as the architecture of the
>> enterprise. As the little pig learned, no amount artful arrangement of
>> straw may
>> be able to withstand the huffing and puffing of the big, bad wolf nearly
>> as well
>> as can a supply of bricks.
>>
>>
>>
>> Another benefit of distinguishing Objective from Strategy is the
>> opportunity
>> to expose students to axiology, the study of values.
>>
>>
>>
>> Onward,
>>
>> Jack Ring
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>