Discussion: View Thread

This note is to suggest an informal survey and discussion on the outlook for
enrollments in all management education programs for the next 3-5 years.
Colleagues around the country are suggesting that they anticipate declining
enrollments with a serious shortfall in September in some of their programs.

Perhaps a simple scale on your outlook of:
1-growth will continue at an acceptable rate
2-little or no growth, but little decline
3-a gradual continued decline
4-a rapid decline (over 10% each year)

Developing a more sophisticated index by various programs would be
invaluable-and our list may be an ideal catalyst. Obviously comments on reasons for
your perceptions would be
very helpful.

Chuck Morrrissey
Pepperdine University

Would you care to differentiate in your survey between on-ground and online
colleges?

Our online colleges (I teach at 2) anticipate continued moderate growth.

Dr. Conna Condon

----- Original Message -----
From: "Charles Morrissey" <CMorrissey@aol.com>
To: <MG-ED-DV@MAELSTROM.STJOHNS.EDU>
Sent: Saturday, June 21, 2003 9:35 AM
Subject: Outlook for Mgt. Ed.


> This note is to suggest an informal survey and discussion on the outlook
for
> enrollments in all management education programs for the next 3-5 years.
> Colleagues around the country are suggesting that they anticipate
declining
> enrollments with a serious shortfall in September in some of their
programs.
>
> Perhaps a simple scale on your outlook of:
> 1-growth will continue at an acceptable rate
> 2-little or no growth, but little decline
> 3-a gradual continued decline
> 4-a rapid decline (over 10% each year)
>
> Developing a more sophisticated index by various programs would be
> invaluable-and our list may be an ideal catalyst. Obviously comments on
reasons for
> your perceptions would be
> very helpful.
>
> Chuck Morrrissey
> Pepperdine University
>

Thanks. Not yet.

One of the difficult issues, however, is measuring what market share
growth is for on-line programs.

Chuck

Suggest you add a level:

0 - rapid growth (over 10%/year)

This puts 2 - in the middle, @ little or no change.

Even if you don't expect anyone to respond at this level, 0, high growth. A lot of
people will only answer within the range you offer. If you don't offer an option, then
when you don't get any responses there, you don't know whether the respondents believed
it wouldn't happen.

Also, you might request info on the type of school (on-line vs. 'traditional' being one
option) as you solicit responses. You may discover that different groups have
different outlooks. Or not.

Jay

Charles Morrissey wrote:

> This note is to suggest an informal survey and discussion on the outlook for
> enrollments in all management education programs for the next 3-5 years.
> Colleagues around the country are suggesting that they anticipate declining
> enrollments with a serious shortfall in September in some of their programs.
>
> Perhaps a simple scale on your outlook of:
> 1-growth will continue at an acceptable rate
> 2-little or no growth, but little decline
> 3-a gradual continued decline
> 4-a rapid decline (over 10% each year)
>
> Developing a more sophisticated index by various programs would be
> invaluable-and our list may be an ideal catalyst. Obviously comments on reasons for
> your perceptions would be
> very helpful.
>
> Chuck Morrrissey
> Pepperdine University

--
Jay Warner
Principal Scientist
Warner Consulting, Inc.
4444 North Green Bay Road
Racine, WI 53404-1216
USA

Ph: (262) 634-9100
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The A2Q Method (tm) -- What do you want to improve today?

Dear Chuck:

What is you definition of a "management education program"? I was not
aware there were any programs that taught educators how to teach
management.



Best,



Ed

Nurturing & Enabling Ventures


-----Original Message-----
From: Management Education and Development Discussion
[mailto:MG-ED-DV@MAELSTROM.STJOHNS.EDU] On Behalf Of Charles Morrissey
Sent: Saturday, June 21, 2003 1:35 PM
To: MG-ED-DV@MAELSTROM.STJOHNS.EDU
Subject: Outlook for Mgt. Ed.

This note is to suggest an informal survey and discussion on the outlook
for
enrollments in all management education programs for the next 3-5 years.
Colleagues around the country are suggesting that they anticipate
declining
enrollments with a serious shortfall in September in some of their
programs.

Perhaps a simple scale on your outlook of:
1-growth will continue at an acceptable rate
2-little or no growth, but little decline
3-a gradual continued decline
4-a rapid decline (over 10% each year)

Developing a more sophisticated index by various programs would be
invaluable-and our list may be an ideal catalyst. Obviously comments on
reasons for
your perceptions would be
very helpful.

Chuck Morrrissey
Pepperdine University