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  • 1.  Intuition and Decision-Making

    Posted 01-05-2006 15:11
    Alan writes in part:

    "I am writing a dissertation at Columbia on the topic How do Suburban High
    School Principals Use Intuition in Making Human Resource Decisions? A
    Critical Incident Perspective. Does anyone have any opinion or research
    recommendations on using intuition in decision-making?"

    You might want to check the work of Gary Klein in his book Sources of
    Power. A book recommended by Chet Richards, following the John Boyd path
    of reducing the decision-making cycle to improve performance. (Boyd
    essentially wrote the book on jet fighter pilot tactics -- a life-and-death
    performance improvement situation!) Klein's focus is on sources of power -
    powers of intuition and mental simulation - as relatively poorly-understood
    sources of decision-making power, especially in 'natural' situations. He
    contrasts this with formal, rational, step-wise decision-making in
    artificial situations where the problems is quite well-formed. The book is
    based on lots of research in a variety of settings, with stories
    interspersed throughout - perhaps 10% of the 295 pages. As I got farther
    into this book, I was surprised to find out how many things it pulled
    together from my last couple decades of reading: systems thinking,
    scenario planning, artificial intelligence, systems analysis and design,
    testing procedures, project planning, knowledge engineering, learning
    theory, information theory, story-telling and metaphors, communities of
    practice ???

    Michael A

    Michael Ayers
    mbayers@earthlink.net <=> www.TheCommonwealthPractice.com
    -> Who are you gonna be while you're doing what you do? <-
    612.308.0501 (mobile)


  • 2.  Intuition and Decision-Making

    Posted 01-06-2006 05:24
    Alan,

    You may wish first to unpack what you mean by intuition.

    One approach is consider the literature on tacit knowledge.

    Another is to consider work on how people use heuristics. Some authors
    consider heuristic reasoning as a sub-optimal approach to
    decision-making which is contrasted with a normatively rational formal
    approach. However, Gigerenzer has done some excellent work on the
    different forms of rationality that lie behind some of our heuristics. I
    would recommend his (200) book "Adaptive Thinking".

    Another approach is to consider intuition as the (experience based)
    ability to engage in effective situational discriminations. You may find
    the Dreyfus and Dreyfus(2005) article in Organisation Studies useful
    here.

    Best regards

    Mark Fenton-O'Creevy