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Two observations on simulations

  • 1.  Two observations on simulations

    Posted 08-20-2006 14:26
    I've enjoyed this discussion and would like to add two points.

    First, before I was became an MBA/Management Ph.D, I was an R&D engineer for
    Boeing working primarily on NASA programs and (among other things) built
    computer programs to simulate the performance of a particular aerospace
    vehicle on a particular mission. Prior to the mission, we used the
    simulation to vary system parameters to optimize the performance of the
    simulated vehicle. During a mission, we received telemetry data from the
    actual mission and checked telemetry against the simulation. One of the
    most important lessons that I learned about simulations occurred when a
    mission failed badly (at the cost of a billion dollars to the U.S.
    government). For the next six months to a year, we worked full time to
    figure out what was wrong with the simulation and to use that information to
    correct the simulation. (After we made corrections, we could match the
    telemetry data exactly.) The corrected simulation worked much better in
    future missions.

    Personally, I don't think that management simulations can reach this level
    of accuracy for reasons that people have pointed out. That said, I think
    that it is important for teachers to talk to students about the purpose,
    assumptions, and limitations of the simulations and to try to debrief them
    after the exercise. Students can learn a lot from simulations. But they
    shouldn't be lulled into thinking that they've learned everything or not
    being alert for "second-order effects" that are not captured by the
    simulation.

    The second observation is that I think that simulations can be useful for
    looking at "cross functional" as well as "cross cultural" situations. (It
    is not that hard to program the behavior of a stereotypical accountant and a
    stereotypical engineer in a particular situation. (-: ).